Yield rate up, reversing decline

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Photo by Andrew Giambrone.

After Yale admitted the lowest percentage of applicants in its history this year, the yield rate for the class of 2016 jumped by more than three percentage points — reversing a five-year decline in the rate.

The University posted a 68.4 percent yield rate with 1,356 students accepting the University’s offer to matriculate this fall and 61 postponing their entry until next year, of 2,043 total admits. While those tallies pushed up the yield, Dean of Undergraduate Admissions Jeffrey Brenzel cautioned against attributing too much significance to small yearly fluctuations in the rate.

“This year’s results were close to last year’s in most areas,” Brenzel said Tuesday. “We expected our yield to rise this year after Harvard and Princeton restored their early admissions programs, meaning that more students with those schools as clear first choices were accepted early and did not go on to apply to other colleges, including Yale.”

Brenzel said this year’s freshman class includes the largest proportion of students who indicated an interest in science, math and engineering that Yale has ever seen. The University has made a conscious effort to up its STEM recruiting in recent years, notably introducing the Yale Engineering and Science Weekend (YES-W) for prospective students in spring 2011.

The class of 2016 includes a slightly greater percentage of students of color and students from public schools than in past years, Brenzel said, and a roughly comparable percentage of international students. Fifty percent of incoming students are receiving financial aid, compared to 53 percent of last year’s freshman class, though the average grant increased by $3,000.

Yale was not the only school to see an increase in yield rate this year. Among its peers, both Harvard and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology reported record yield rates — 81 percent and 70 percent, respectively — for the class of 2016. Meanwhile, Princeton’s rate jumped more than 10 points to 66.7 percent.

Four admissions experts and college guidance counselors interviewed said they were not surprised by Yale’s higher yield rate. Still, they said the early action policies now in place at most of the country’s top schools make it difficult to project future trends.

“I have no idea about the future, but I think it is unlikely that the yields will go up consistently, unless [these schools] take more early action kids,” Jon Reider, a college guidance counselor at San Francisco University High School. “But I don’t think they want to do that for all kinds of reasons, mostly having to do with the perception of fairness. The yield is as high as it needs to be to demonstrate that Yale is among the most highly regarded schools in the country and world.”

Sarah Beyreis ’85 GRD ’94, director of college guidance counseling at the private Cincinnati Country Day School, attributed the increase in Yale’s yield rate to the University’s all-time low acceptance rate and need-blind financial aid policy. She said Yale has the resources to make it possible for most accepted students to attend, whatever their background.

“As long as Yale is one of the most highly valued and, for a family with financial need, often the least expensive option, it’s going to have high yields,” Beyreis said.

The yield rate takes into account all students beginning their freshmen year, but not those who postpone their arrivals.

Comments

  • observer

    The August 22 release by the University said there were 1,356 matriculants, but in her August 25 address, Dean Miller said there were 1,354. Which was it?

    Also, people who defer a year are NOT matriculants, (they will be NEXT year if they enroll), so you have miscalculated the yield rate.

    If there were 2,043 admits, including 68 from the wait list) and 1,356 matriculants, then the yield rate was 66.4%, rather than 68.4% as you report.

    I am sure Dean Brenzel knows that you do NOT include deferees in the matriculant number when calculating the yield rate. At least Harvard, Stanford, MIT and Princeton don’t.

    • River_Tam

      > The August 22 release by the University said there were 1,356 matriculants, but in her August 25 address, Dean Miller said there were 1,354. Which was it?

      It was 1,356 on the 22nd, but two of them asked to be in Branford before the second speech was made.

  • observer

    The Yale yield rate was NOT 68.4%, but rather 64.4%.

    That is, if you use the same formula for calculating the yield rate that EVERY other Ivy, MIT and Stanford do.

    What Yale does – that NONE of the other schools do – is to subtract the number of admits who decide to defer a year from the total number of admits reported; in fact, they WERE admits, even if they did not matriculate, as all of Yale’s peers acknowledge.

    The result is to overstate the fraction of admits who matriculate – thus overstating the yield rate. Since, apparently, Yale his been doing this throughout the tenure of the current Director of Admissions, it appears that year after year the ACTUAL yield rate has been uniformly lower than the figure Yale has claimed. How MUCH lower depends, of course, on how many deferrees Yale failed to include in the admit number reported.

    For example, this year there were 49 Class of 2016 admits to Harvard who deferred a year. Harvard reports that there were 2,076 admits (INCLUDING these referees) and 1,665 matriculants, for a yield rate of 80.2%. If Harvard has used Yale’s idiosyncratic technique, it would have reported only 2,027 “admits” and been able to report an 82.2% yield rate.

  • AdmissionsPro

    Presumably, then, Harvard must boost its matriculant total by counting last year’s deferees, otherwise the effect of the deferees will never be reflected in the yield statistics. Whether deferees are subtracted from this year’s admissions total or added to next year’s matriculant count (I suppose there will be some “melt” of deferees who never make it to campus), the net effect on yield will be tenths of a percentage point.

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